The key to economic development lies in shifting the occupational structure of the labour force away from low-productivity activities towards high-productivity ones.” – W. Arthur Lewis
India stands at a critical juncture in its journey toward economic development. The nation’s vast workforce, predominantly engaged in low-wage agricultural jobs, must transition to high-paying, high-productivity sectors to achieve sustainable growth. While the economic rationale for this shift is undeniable, the path forward is fraught with challenges stemming from inadequate urban development. Poor connectivity, haphazard urban planning, and overpopulation have rendered major Indian cities expensive and difficult to live in, thereby complicating the rural-to-urban migration essential for labour market flexibility.
The Cost of Stagnation
India’s agricultural sector, which employs a significant portion of its workforce, suffers from alarmingly low productivity. Farmers, burdened by rising costs and stagnant incomes, struggle to make ends meet. While policies such as farm loan waivers provide temporary respite, they fail to address the root cause of the problem: the sheer surplus of labour in agriculture. India’s workforce remains disproportionately dependent on this sector, necessitating a structural shift toward industries that offer better opportunities.
The “Lewisian Turning Point,” a principle in development economics, underscores the importance of labour migration in driving economic growth. When workers transition from low-productivity agriculture to higher-productivity sectors such as manufacturing, technology, and services, overall wages in the economy rise. Unfortunately, India’s urban centres are ill-equipped to absorb this surplus labour, limiting the potential benefits of this transition.
The Urbanization Paradox
Urban areas should act as magnets for rural populations, providing them with better job opportunities and improved living standards. However, the current state of urban life in India paints a bleak picture. The cost of living in cities, driven by factors such as inadequate public transportation, insufficient affordable housing, and overburdened infrastructure, often outweighs the benefits of higher nominal wages. This disparity, known as the “urban penalty,” creates a significant barrier to labour mobility.
For example, cities like Mumbai, Delhi, and Bengaluru, while offering promising economic prospects, suffer from severe overcrowding, high real estate costs, and strained public services. These issues deter rural migrants, who find it challenging to sustain a decent quality of life despite higher nominal earnings.
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The Governance Gap
At the heart of India’s urban challenges lies a governance gap. Indian cities lack the autonomy and financial resources required for effective planning and management. State governments often exercise excessive control, leaving city administrations with limited decision-making power. This centralized approach stifles innovation and responsiveness at the local level.
Moreover, Indian cities are often governed by a fragmented leadership structure. Unelected bureaucrats, who lack accountability to the public, and elected officials, who possess limited authority, struggle to implement transformative changes. As a result, urban areas remain plagued by inadequate infrastructure, poor sanitation, and a lack of affordable housing—all of which compound the challenges of rural-to-urban migration.
Reforming Urban Governance
To unlock the full potential of urbanization and accelerate economic growth, India must undertake significant reforms in urban governance. These include:
- Granting Cities Greater Autonomy: Cities need enhanced financial and administrative powers to plan and execute development projects effectively. A decentralized approach can enable faster decision-making and tailored solutions to local issues.
- Strengthening Local Democracy: Establishing directly elected and empowered mayors with sufficient authority to make critical decisions is crucial. Such leaders can ensure accountability, responsiveness, and a clear vision for urban growth.
- Investing in Infrastructure and Services: Improved public transportation, affordable housing, and robust social services are essential to make cities more livable and attractive for migrants. These investments can reduce the urban penalty and encourage labour mobility.
- Encouraging Private Sector Participation: Partnering with the private sector to develop smart cities, modernize infrastructure, and create job opportunities can catalyze urban transformation.
India’s economic future hinges on its ability to harness the transformative power of urbanization. By addressing the critical issues of inadequate infrastructure, poor planning, and weak urban governance, India can create vibrant and inclusive cities that attract and retain talent. This will facilitate the much-needed shift of its workforce from low-productivity agriculture to higher-productivity sectors, driving economic growth and improving living standards for millions of its citizens. In the words of Joseph Schumpeter, “Urbanization is the most powerful force for economic and social change.” By fostering vibrant and dynamic urban environments, India can unleash the full potential of its people and propel itself towards a brighter future.