- He expects asset quality for global banks, which he says represent as much as 35% of the Indian IT industry’s revenue, to be badly hit
- The coronavirus pandemic has clouded the outlook for their growth this year
While Indian technology outsourcing companies have largely held up better in the coronavirus pandemic than other industries in the nation, predicting how they are likely to perform in the future has never been so hard.
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The uncertainty stemming from the virus and countries’ efforts to contain it have made it harder to estimate short-term earnings than at any other time in Kuldeep Koul’s 18-year career as an Indian tech-sector analyst. Employed by ICICI Securities Ltd., he is the top-ranked analyst covering Infosys Ltd., the nation’s second-largest IT outsourcing company, according to Bloomberg data. He has a buy rating on the stock with a target price of ₹775, indicating a more than 20% gain from Friday’s closing price.
“Your ability to zero in on the precise numbers gets limited,” he said, but stressed that what’s more important is to try and understand what the shape of an eventual recovery will look like. Koul expects asset quality for global banks, which he says represent as much as 35% of the Indian IT industry’s revenue, to be badly hit. “If I am right on that, it won’t be a V-shaped, but a U-shaped extended recovery.”
Source: livemint
